One question which I get asked quite often is
the one this topic is about – Is this the right time to buy Indian Real Estate?
I guess the question has its own merit. Indian Real Estate has been and
actually is going through a correction phase. Its not really as if the
bubble bursted or the markets crashed, but more of a filtering of wheat (real
buyers) from the chaff (speculators) thats been going on.
Not that I am any financial expert on the
subject but from what I see and hear, Real Estate generally worldwide has a
cyclical nature and Indian Real Estate is no different. It is currently going
through a dip to prepare for its next high tide. Real estate as a product is
fairly limited and there’s pentup demand of Real Estate – both in Residential as well
as in Commerical sectors.
Having that said, the followup question is “So,
how much of it has already been through?“.
Although
Yes- because the market took a turn from speculators
to home buyers, from sellers to buyers and from unhealthy towards regaining
health. This is really good for the industry. This was much needed and awaited.
This resulted into a correction all over the country, some areas more
significantly affected than the others.
No- because the effect hasn’t been on every
property that is a part of the Indian real estate. Location, Location, Location
are the three core factirs determining the demand as a result the price of any
property. Due to limited nature of the product, certain areas, properties have
a higher demand than others. So those “in-demand” areas or properties haven’t
been affected much, or I can safely state – They are still appreciating North.
Finally the million dollar question asked is
– “Is this a good time to buy?”
Now thats where I totally fail to help.
If you have any faith in Buffet investment
principles (those who follow him) – join when the tide’s low i.e. YES this is a
graet time to find good deals.
Generally/practically – I see most people not
being able to gather the courage to invest at a time when markets go through
correction. There’s a general dilemma of “what if the market goes further
down?” and so the thought continues.
I wish only if someone knew the guaranteed
answer to the question!
Gunjan Garg
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